Its cost us wins. Playoffs . He rushed 7 times in the fourth quarter of the teams 43-17 win over the 49ers. Throughout the first six weeks of the season, Hurts has accumulated over 1800 total yards and 13 TDs, but is 28th in the league in QBR. @PinchyBoy10 defines it as down three touchdowns in the fourth quarter. @mcsingh85 is in a similar boat. For our purposes, garbage time is when a team is trailing by 16 points or more in the second half of a game. Register now! Be sure to follow us on Twitter (@PFN365) to stay in the loop on all things around the NFL. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. This is a subreddit for the NFL community. Teams rarely trail by 21 points in the first quarter, but we do have some data to work with the rest of the way. He completed 70.9% of his garbage-time attempts for 7 touchdowns. PLAY. With an injury to top corner Darius Slay and a comfortable lead, the Eagles took their foot off the gas pedal and let the Saints cut into that deficit. When games are within one score, Hurts seems to be inaccurate and indecisive with the ball. These are more to be used as reference tools, but you will be able to successfully correlate many of these numbers to our earlier charts. Both are probably true to some degree. There will probably never be consensus on the answer, so I went with the following (in part because it made data mining relatively easy, without having to go through individual play-by-play game logs for dozens of QBs): I called garbage time any time one's team was ahead or behind by 17+ points in the 3rd quarter, and/or ahead or behind by 14+ points in the 4th. In September 2016, Nolan began hosting NFL Films Presents, airing on Fox Sports 1. The following production comes when the players team isleadingby 16 points in the second half. You love it when your team is winning, hate it when the team is losing, and change the channel when you have no rooting or wagering interest in the blowout. Its important to note that, for the sake of this piece, I define garbage time as whenever the Vikings face a three-possession deficit at any point in the second half of a game. 2) I didn't really know what to expect before I did this; I suspected that Kirk is probably pretty average in the overall contribution of garbage time to his numbers, and that the meme is pretty overblown - but that was just based on anecdotal stuff like some of cka2nd's recent posts.]. Matt Ryan in 2016, when the Falcons went 11-5. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. That would be the highest rate by any QB in a season in NFL history. NFL Fantasy College NFL Draft DFS Betting Defining 'Garbage Time' By mikeclay Nov 30, 2012 . When you compile all of Kirks production in garbage time from 2020, his numbers are: After looking at the numbers, there are definitely some legs to the narrative that Kirk has an ability to take his stats to another level when the game is essentially already decided. Hurts is insane. Meanwhile, a struggling squad like Detroit is forced to throw the ball during garbage time, which explains why they rank as the unadjusted pass-heaviest team in the league. 3. Lets look at some of the players who saw the most action in lopsided losses (and wins for running backs) last year, examine their production, and determine what all that trash collection could mean for them in 2021 and beyond. The Colts are the biggest culprit here. The entire process takes 30 seconds and youre in. A QB can make a career out of this if he plays his cards right. Some team is likely to overpay to find out. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. With Kenny Golladay hurt much of the season, Staffords options at wide receiver besides Jones included Danny Amendola, Quintez Cephus, and Mohamed Sanu. Was loosing every week and throwing for yards in garbage time but hes a super star.yeah rightaverage qb from what Ive seen. If the Raiders are down 21 in the fourth quarter, theyre very likely to go forward with a pass-heavy attack. Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is the Emperor of garbage time, Kirk Cousins and other top garbage-time quarterbacks of 2020, Garbage time. Lololol r/falcons on suicide watch. Should the Vikings trade for Jalen Ramsey? He and the organization failed. Only four quarterbacks in NFL history have finished a season with more than 4,500 passing yards, more than 30 touchdowns, fewer than 10 interceptions and an average of more than 8.5 yards per pass. We all should know the term, when a team is behind two possessions or more in the fourth quarter, and there is not enough time for their offense to score those points and/or their defense hasn't been effective enough to keep the other team from running out the clock after a score. These are fairly self-explanatory so I wont go into much detail. The Dak, Blake Bortles effect. Cousins has done a commendable job of putting a major dent into a handful of the narratives that have dogged him since he landed in Minnesota. And what about first-half blowouts? 2023 DN Live Draft: Date / Time / Platform. Notice that, through four responses, each follower pointed to the later stages of the game. At 46 percent, the Chiefs rank as the run-heaviest team. 21 Jan 2023 01:32:03 The bottom line is wins and losses. 4. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. NFL Premium Stats; NFL Player Grades; Free Agent Rankings; QB Annual 2022; About Player Grades; Social @PFF; Facebook; Instagram . Theyre gonna need a sharp guy to get some trades, some cast-offs, and some sharp 3-6 round gems in order to compete any time soon. Also, earning a gig as Kirk Cousins go-to receiver on meaningless drives is a wise career move. Its almost as if the Minnesota Vikings QB sees a prevent defense at the end of a loss, rubs his palms together eagerly, and proclaims, Time to make my money!. Vikings promote Weatherly, waive Hillman; is the return of Adrian Petersonnext? Starting []. Something, somethingTom Bradysomething, something. Rivers, Brady) and/or are no longer in the league (e.g. A PFT post the other day noted Bridgewaters 92 quarterback rating was something like 22nd in the league, when not too long ago 75 was considered average. For running backs, we need to do things differently. These stats reflect it. Under five minutes [to go], more than a two score game (17-plus point lead).. Which player has won the most Super Bowls? On the one hand, its hard to argue that Minshew benefitted from padded stats. Nick Sirianni hasnt done Hurts many favors with the playcalling either. With his team trailing in most games this season, many have labeled Hurts as a garbage time QB due to playing from behind. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. You must be logged in to leave a comment. Matthew Stafford was sacked 12 times when the Lions were trailing by two scores, which is troubling. RT @jameis1of1: This is a DAMNING metric 4 #Saints DENNIS ALLEN ANDY DALTON accumulated 70.6% of his season Total EPA in "GARBAGE TIME." Dalton's 2022 stats were literally JOKE stats JAMEIS WINSTON was #2 in the entire NFL in EPA in 2021 w/ next to no garbage time accumulation . For more information, please see our Need a desperation No. I bet he would have taken it. On the other hand, some of those same QBs do win and have more success than Kirk historically has. How much of that was end of game bush yards? Notice that teams up by four-to-20 points still throw exactly 56 percent of the time. [] decent, but as we all know, many of those numbers came from garbage time, which seems to be an occurring theme for Hurts throughout the [], [] will be quick to tell you that a lot of the Eagles passing success has come in garbage time. Below is a table of the times the Vikings found themselves in garbage time last season and what Cousins' production from that point on looked like. Imagine what he could have achieved if he didnt have Bullet Bill OBrien as a coach. Edit: wow sooo many people hating on specific teams. Everytime Derrick Henry played this team, you could expect him to have a big day. Gardner Minshew, Nick Mullens, Drew Lock, and Matthew Stafford all attempted more throws than Cousins last season when their teams trailed by at least 16 points in the second half of a contest. I did not account for team impacts on the relatively small number that changed teams (e.g. It turns out that big-name running backs on powerhouse teams dont benefit much from garbage-time production. Were aware of it. Minshew is the best QB on our roster and no one wants too talk about it. Those numbers were lower than his 66.1% completion rate and 6.9 yards per attempt for the whole season. When their opponents are taking them seriously and putting in the effort to pressure Siemian and challenge his receivers, Sean Payton hasnt had an answer for them. While Cousins ended last years campaign with a passer rating of 105, which ranked eighth among quarterbacks, his passer rating only fell to 100.85 when you remove his garbage-time production. Theyre just ahead of the Redskins (49 percent) and Jets/Seahawks (51 percent). Is Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins guilty of padding his stats when trailing in the fourth quarter? Down by 14 or more points after the first quarter Teams who fall behind by 14 points in the first quarter likely dont manage that feat until late in the quarter. Man Stafford isnt even elite in this stat anymore, Offense so bad, cant even Statpadford anymore. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. Teams up by one-to-three percent pass only half the time. That can result in lots of carries and yards. ) This approach gave me 42 QBs; for context, Josh Rosen was the last one to make the cut; Jacoby Brissett was the first one not to - so basically, any marginal (or better) starter over the past three seasons was included. Gaskin rushed 8 times in the fourth quarter of the Dolphins 31-13 win over the Jaguars. Aaron Rodgers in 2011, when the Packers went 15-1. BOB is more rotten fruit from the Belichick tree. Thats barely below the 59 percent league average in the third quarter. Two followers took on the challenge of quantifying the garbage time phenomenon. Avoid those on teams that will do their best to run the ball (eg. Meaning, when the game is already out of hand and the only thing standing in the way of a Vikings defeat is the remaining minutes on the game clock, THAT is when Cousins comes alive. But hey, if Mike McCarthy thinks the best way to mount a comeback is with short passes to a player most coaches would consider an ideal vertical threat, who are we to argue with him? The dip to 53 percent in 21-plus point games is enough to qualify those plays as garbage time. Not sure what fitz should do. @omnicomin points out something many fail to realize: both teams can be in garbage time simultaneously. Next on our list would come Gus Edwards and Mark Ingram of the Baltimore Ravens with 20 attempts. 2020-21. So it might have been a better idea to say that Cousins was the Emperor of garbage time during the first six games of the 2020 season. Some believe that Hurts has shown enough to warrant a longer leash with an improved roster; others are already clamoring for Malik Willis or Carson Strong in next years draft. To make it easy to read, teams are sorted by their pass rates under normal game circumstances. Yet, our definition gives us enough plays to analyze players without making things too complicated. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. Despite Cousins passer rating of 68.6 and his 1-3 record as a starter during Shanahans stint as Washingtons offensive coordinator from 2011 to 2013, the San Francisco head coach continues to shower his former quarterback with praise any chance he gets. If he didnt suck early in the games, they wouldnt of been losing to start with. Teams ahead by 14 points pass only one-quarter of the time in the fourth quarter. Thats especially true because theres not that much Ben DiNucci in the data. The fact that Cooper averaged only 10.6 yards per catch is somewhat more surprising. 2021-22 Jones 2021-22 Chabot 2021-22 Burns 2021-22 Letang 2021-22 Makar 2021-22 Werenski 2021-22 Josi 2021-22 Toews 2021-22 Hughes 2021-22 Hedman 2021-22 Nurse 2021-22 Ekblad 2021-22 Provorov 2021-22 Heiskanen 2021-22 McAvoy 2021-22 . [], [] Tua Tagovailoa to a new franchise in just his second year. The Eagles made the same mistake as the Titans last week and the Falcons a game earlier. I think highly of Watson, but its worth noting that with defenses watered-down and Arena Football-style games becoming the norm, those stats simply dont mean what they used to. Ive watched this play from every angle multiple times and I just dont understand. ZodiacKiller1968 1 yr. ago. However, since this is a community, that view is no less important.
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